from: Jan 18 2020 1:00 pm until: Jan 19 2020 1:00 am Winter Weather Advisory level: Minor
Minimal threat to life or property - Responsive action SHOULD be taken soon (within next hour)
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Central and eastern Mohawk Valley, greater Capital Region, Taconics, eastern Catskills and Schoharie County, mid

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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Jan 18 2020 2:47 am


 

Day 1

D4Monday Jan 20 2020 - Tuesday Jan 21 2020 D7Thursday Jan 23 2020 - Friday Jan 24 2020
D5Tuesday Jan 21 2020 - Wednesday Jan 22 2020 D8Friday Jan 24 2020 - Saturday Jan 25 2020
D6Wednesday Jan 22 2020 - Thursday Jan 23 2020 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
        
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Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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